March 9, 2016: It’s easy to get used to this week’s weather! Temperatures soared to as warm as the 70’s by Tuesday, but now temperatures will settle into the 50’s for the next week or so, which is still at least 10° above average.
Now that spring has sprung early, will it stick around? That’s a big question a lot of people are curious about, so let’s dive into it.
First off, we aren’t looking for cold air anytime soon. In fact, the weather looks to stay above average through at least next Wednesday! That means at least another week of the 50’s, with some days in the 60’s.
That means we’ll have to look further out for signs of cold air. Keep in mind, the farther we go out from the present, the more could change with the weather situation, so the maps I show next won’t be exactly what happens in the coming weeks:
The GFS model showing the jet stream for next Friday night, March 18th. Click on the image to enlarge.
Here’s one computer model’s thoughts on the jet stream about 10 days out from now (next Friday). Do you see that ‘U’ shape in the wind pattern, and how far south it goes? That doesn’t look good for us. This pattern points toward bringing in much colder air out of Canada.
Surface temperatures for Friday, March 18th, according to the GFS model. Click on the image to enlarge.
Surface temperatures for Friday, March 18th, according to the European model. Click on the image to enlarge.
These next two maps are two different computers models (the GFS model and the European model) and what they think surface temperatures will be under that possible weather pattern next Friday. Remember, take this with a grain a salt, but don’t put away the heavy jackets yet! While the models differ on where to put the coldest air, they both agree that we’ll see highs in the middle to low 40’s, which by that point is closer to 10 degrees BELOW average!
Surface temperatures for Sunday, March 20th, according to the GFS model. Click on the image to enlarge.
If we look even farther out, the GFS model wants to bring us highs in the 30’s by the following Sunday!
Remember, a lot can change with all of this. As the models get more information, they’ll refine their forecast, plus getting closer to next Friday gives the models much more current information to work with.
It isn’t surprising that be might see cold weather before the month is over- it is March after all! This month definitely has a lot of back and forth weather!
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