Seattle Switcheroo!

both

When you think of Seattle weather, you think cloudy, cool weather. Typically, that’s what happens! However today Seattle was just a few degrees short of a record high temperature! According to my friend Morgan Palmer, Meteorologist at Seattle’s KIRO-TV, today’s 80 degree temperatures are the warmest since September, and are the earliest 80s in a decade!

Back to Rockford: Our high temperature on Wednesday was just 49 degrees…almost equally out-of-whack! Today’s high temperature was 18 degrees off of the normal high of 67 degrees. But the weather pattern will shift in the coming days. Seattle will settle back into the 50s while we warm into the 80s…potentially! Here is Seattle’s forecast compared to Rockford.
7day

Side note: Everyone in Northern Illinois knows “Symbol.” The large red-orange art that stands on the riverfront at Sinnissippi Park in Rockford. Did you know there’s a very similar piece of art by Alexander Liberman very near Seattle’s Space Needle? Now you know!

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Posted under weather

This post was written by qni_it on April 30, 2014

Tornado touches down in Northwestern Illinois

 

 
1901503_10151969495261899_1006802090366936110_nShortly before noon today, a small but powerful supercell thunderstorm formed over western Ogle County and produced a tornado. Eyewitnesses reported seeing the funnel hit the ground along IL26 in northwestern Ogle County, just northwest of the town of Forreston. As is the case with weather systems like this, the tornado didn’t last long and was probably on the ground for just a few minutes. Luckily, the tornado did not near any towns or farms as no damage was reported.

shearToday, a stationary front lies right over Northern Illinois with temperatures near 70 south of the front and 40s in South-Central Wisconsin. This front allowed for thunderstorms to form. There was just enough wind shear (southeasterly wind at ground level with a south-southwesterly wind aloft) to produce a spin-up tornado. While the shear is still present in the atmosphere this afternoon, there aren’t any organized thunderstorms. It’s not likely that we’ll much more than a few quick-passing showers for the remainder of the afternoon.

Quite a few folks have asked if this was a “cold air funnel.” Actually, this was not. This will go down as a true, full-fledged tornado…the first for Northern Illinois this year. The first in the nation for the day, having occurred around noon.

Based on the circulation on radar and eyewitness reports, here is the approximate location of the tornado this afternoon:
tornado_map

We’ll keep watching out today and every day. But the tornado today is a reminder that everyone should have a safety plan! Do you have a weather radio yet?

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Posted under tornado

This post was written by qni_it on April 29, 2014

Birmingham Tornado LIVE

Watch coverage from the ABC affiliate in Birmingham, Alabama here:

ABC 33/40 – Birmingham News, Weather, Sports

Watch coverage from our NBC affiliate in Birmingham, Alabama.WVTM-TV: News, Weather, and Sports for Birmingham, AL

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Posted under weather

This post was written by qni_it on April 28, 2014

Storm Potential Today

We have seen some scattered showers this morning into the early afternoon, but activity has died down a bit across the Stateline. A resurgence in the possibility for thunderstorms will lead us into this evening. We have our eyes on an area in far Southeast Iowa.northmove Thanks to the heating of the day, we expect to see a line of showers and storms develop in this region and track toward the Stateline. If this scenario plays out, they will likely weaken a bit before they arrive, however, we are still in a Threatrack Level 2 for the potential to see strong wind and large hail. Stay tuned throughout the afternoon! – Greg

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Posted under rain, severe weather

This post was written by qni_it on April 28, 2014

Temperature Spread

A slow-moving area of low pressure will bring rounds of showers and thunderstorms to northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin. A warm front associated with this system will wreak havoc with meteorologists, including yours truly, in regards to temperatures!

The front will waver back and forth ever so slightly near our local area. An east wind off of Lake Michigan will keep things pretty chilly north of the front while a southeast wind will allow for mild temperatures to the south of the front. The problem? Our area will be near and at times in this transition zone.

Cool vs. Warm

Cool vs. Warm

A great example was Saturday. The afternoon high only reached 52 degrees in Lake Geneva while Dixon climbed up to 68 degrees! That same spread looks to set up shop on Sunday. If you take a drive down I-39, temperatures will be in the lower 50s in Madison, middle 50s in Janesville, upper 50s in Rockford, lower 60s in Rochelle, middle 60s in Paw Paw, and near 70 in LaSalle-Peru!

Sunday Temperature Spread

Sunday Temperature Spread

Monday should be a relatively mild day for much of the area (rainy though). Models are beginning to come into agreement and it appears that much of our area will hit 60 on Monday.

Monday Temperature Spread

Monday Temperature Spread

By Tuesday, a temperature spread of 20 to 30 degrees is still a good bet from Milwaukee to Moline, with the Stateline right in the transition zone.

-Joe

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Posted under FutureTrack, weather

This post was written by qni_it on April 26, 2014

Healthy Dose of Rain

As the title says, a healthy dose of rain is in the works for northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin. We need it too! Our April monthly rain total is down about 30% from normal. Our seasonal (since March 1st) deficit is just over two inches. From the pre-dawn hours of Sunday morning through Monday evening, many of us could pick up an inch or two of rainfall.

Rainfall Potential: Sunday through Monday Evening

Rainfall Potential: Sunday through Monday Evening

Rounds of showers and thunderstorms will push through the Midwest, with our area expected to receive some of the higher rainfall totals. The potential for heavy rainfall exists on Sunday evening through Monday morning. This is when the bulk of the rain will fall into our rain gauges.

Click HERE for a look at our thunderstorm chances over the next couple of days.

-Joe

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Posted under FutureTrack, rain, statistics, weather

This post was written by qni_it on April 26, 2014

Rain & Thunderstorms Arrive

Showers and thunderstorms will dot the radar screen on Sunday. Since the rain will be scattered in nature, there will be a few dry periods during the day. When it’s not raining, it will be mostly cloudy and windy. An east wind will gust up to 30mph at times.

Scattered showers & t'storms will become more numerous by Sunday evening

Scattered showers & t’storms will become more numerous by Sunday evening

Thunderstorms will increase in coverage Sunday evening and night, with heavy rain a good bet. The chance for any severe weather is low, but not zero. We are under a Threatrack Level 1 for Sunday, meaning general thunderstorms may contain some gusty wind and small hail. A local severe weather outbreak is not likely.

Sunday

Sunday

The highest risk for severe weather on Sunday will occur from the Quad Cities, Peoria, and points south. Tornadoes are possible in central & southern Illinois, southern Iowa, Missouri and Arkansas.

On Monday, the chance for showers and thunderstorms will continue across our area. Another threat of severe weather exists, but it appears things will stay active just south of our local area once again.

Monday

Monday

Should anything change, I will update this blog post.

-Joe

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Posted under FutureTrack, severe weather, Threatrack, weather

This post was written by qni_it on April 26, 2014

Multi-Day severe weather expected

output_hhZstPResidents of the Southern Plains are gearing up for the first multi-day severe weather risk of the season. Severe weather and tornadoes are possible from Texas into Oklahoma and Kansas on Saturday. Arkansas, Louisiana, and East Texas are under the gun on Sunday. We’ll be tracking the weather for you all weekend! (Click image to animate)

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Posted under severe weather, weather geek

This post was written by qni_it on April 25, 2014

Stalled Weather Pattern

Today and tomorrow are the pick of the litter when it comes to the 7Day forecast. Highs today take us up near 70 and tomorrow we top out at 60. Both days look to bring us abundant sunshine! Sunday-Wednesday settle us into a weather pattern that keeps us in the mid 50s and showery. CaptureA low pressure system will get cut off just to our southwest which will impact us in two ways. The first way will be a notheasterly wind flow that will remain consistant through that time period. The northeast breeze will pump cooler air from the Great Lakes across the Stateline. 2The second impact will be overcast cloud cover that promps scattered showers sunday-Wednesday. Long story short, get out and enjoy today and tomorrow because the following 5 days will be cooler and rainy. – Greg

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Posted under First Look, rain, weather

This post was written by qni_it on April 25, 2014

Thursday Thunder

dayHeading into this afternoon our chance for showers greatly increases. We could sneak in some popcorn showers and even a few popcorn storms this morning, but the best chance for heavier sustained rainfall will be as we look toward this evening into tonight. Since March 1st we are closing in on a rainfall deficit near 2 inches, so this is welcomed rain. Thunderstorms can’t be ruled out this evening, but the strongest storms will stay well to our south through parts of Central and Southern Illinois. – Greg

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Posted under rain, severe weather, statistics

This post was written by qni_it on April 24, 2014