Local Travelcast

With temperatures warming up a little more than Saturday, Sunday is going to be another great day to be outdoors. It’ll also be a good day to go for a drive! The forecast calls for temperatures rising into the upper 50s by the afternoon with a south breeze. Clouds will be on the increase throughout the day. Look for some filtered sunshine early and a mostly cloudy sky by nightfall.

If you plan on venturing along the Stagecoach Trail in Stephenson & Jo Daviess County, look for increasing clouds earlier in the day. If you plan on taking the Blackhawk Trail along Route 2 south of Rockford, temperatures may be a degree or two warmer. Cloudy skies will take control for Sunday night with a very slight chance for a few sprinkles. Low temperatures will fall into the upper 30s.

-Joe

 

Share

Posted under travel, weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on April 5, 2014

Morning Rush

Our snow system had the models all worked up last night and early this morning, but things have settled down and we are back to expecting just a few inches here across the Stateline. The timing puts the snow overnight into tomorrow morning. So, of course, our morning commute could suffer. Even minimal snow accumulation could make for a slippery and longer travel from point A to point B tomorrow, so if you have to head out, be sure to hit the road a few minutes early and take it slow! – GregUntitled

Share

Posted under snow, travel, winter weather

This post was written by GregBobos on March 11, 2014

YouTube Video Forecast Update: Sunday Feb 16th 6:30pm

Here’s a quick update on what to expect for Monday. I’ll have your full forecast on 13 News Weekend after the Olympics. -Joe

Share

Posted under snow, travel, video, weather, winter storm, winter weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on February 16, 2014

Climate of Sochi

The 2014 Winter Olympics are under way in the city of Sochi, Russia.  Many of us think of a brutally cold and snowy Russia during the winter months.  This is true for the most part, but Russia is the world’s largest country in terms of land area (approximately 6.5 million square miles), and the climate varies greatly across such a large area.

Sandwiched between the Black Sea and the Caucasus Mountains of southwestern Russia, Sochi is roughly as far north as Wisconsin Dells.  However, due to its location in southeastern Europe along the Black Sea, it has a climate that is much different from Wisconsin Dells.  Palm trees line the streets of Sochi year-round!

2 Major United States Climate Zones

2 Major United States Climate Zones

Sochi has a humid subtropical climate, generally characterized by hot, humid summers and mild winters.  Humid subtropical climates are often found on the southeastern side of continents and also near coastlines.  The southeastern United States, parts of southeast China, southern Brazil & northern Argentina, the east coast of Australia, and the areas near the Adriatic and Black Seas all have a humid subtropical climate. Compare this to our local climate, humid continental, where we have hot, humid summers and cold winters.

Sochi's Subtropical Climate

Sochi’s Subtropical Climate

A typical February day in Sochi sees a low of 37°F and a high of 50°F.  For the entire year, the average low is 51°F and average high is 66°F with about 60 inches of precipitation. A comparable American city is Virginia Beach, believe it or not!  Virginia Beach’s average low is 52°F and average high is 68°F with about 50 inches of precipitation.  Looking at the data for Rockford, the average low is 39°F and average high is 59°F with about 35 inches of precipitation during a year.

As with any climate zone, there will be some differences depending on latitude, longitude, elevation, and natural features such as large bodies of water. Sochi is near the Caucasus Mountains, so the higher elevations where the outdoor Olympic events take place tend to be colder. In this case, by about 10 to 15 degrees.

Mild Forecast

Mild Forecast

The forecast for Sochi includes above average high temperatures over the next few days. Temperatures will reach the 60s near the coast and 40s in the mountains.  A few rain showers are possible Friday and Saturday, putting a damper on the snow cover.  Russia plans to use their 400,000 tons of snow reserves from other parts of the country to help combat the melting snow in Sochi.

-Joe

Share

Posted under 13 Climate Authority, snow, statistics, travel, weather, winter weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on February 12, 2014

Blizzard Conditions Overnight

A Blizzard Warning is in effect for Carroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson & Whiteside County overnight. Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for the rest of our area.  We will all deal with blizzard-like conditions through early Monday morning.  The worst of it will occur now through about 3am.

Winter Weather Alerts: Blizzard conditions area-wide

Winter Weather Alerts: Blizzard conditions area-wide

Winds have become increasingly stronger throughout the evening.  West northwest winds will be sustained between 25 and 35mph with wind gusts approaching 50mph.  Blowing and drifting with whiteout conditions are likely area-wide, with the worst being on rural roads and in open areas.

Avoid Travel Overnight

Avoid Travel Overnight

Avoid travel overnight. Numerous roads are shut down. Many cars are in ditches. Temperatures will fall below zero after midnight and wind chills will plummet to 30 below by sunrise; you do not want to be stranded in these conditions.

-Joe

Share

Posted under cold blast, safety, severe weather, snow, travel, Wind, winter storm, winter weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on January 26, 2014

Keeps Adding Up

A quick-moving Alberta Clipper system pushed through the area during the predawn hours of Sunday.  Between midnight and 6am, Rockford’s official climate site at Chicago Rockford International Airport observed 2.5 inches of snow.  A handful of reports from weather observers across the area fell within the 2 to 4 inch range with this latest round of snowfall.

Local Snowfall Totals as of 8am Sunday

Local Snowfall Totals as of 8am Sunday

So far for the month of January, Rockford has received 14.3 inches of snow, which is 5.7 inches more than normal.  Rockford’s seasonal total is up to 33.0 inches.  We are now 11.3 inches—almost one foot—snowier than normal through January 26th! Meteorological winter (December, January, February) averages 29.2 inches for the entire season….and we’ve already surpassed that!

A few light snow showers are possible for the rest of Sunday, especially when the cold front pushes through during the late afternoon and early evening hours.  Minor additional accumulations are possible.

Sunday Night through Monday Morning

Sunday Night through Monday Morning

The main concern will be blowing and drifting snow late Sunday, Sunday night, and Monday morning.  A light south wind will become west-northwesterly late Sunday morning as wind speeds gradually increase to 10-20mph.  By this evening, wind speeds will increase to 20-30mph with gusts to 40mph.  Near-blizzard and whiteout conditions will cause treacherous travel overnight, especially on north-south roads in open areas.

-Joe

EDIT: Additional / New Snowfall Reports

  • Loran – 4.0″
  • Whitewater – 4.0″
  • Lake Geneva – 3.4″
  • Freeport (Willow Lake) – 3.0″
  • Rockton – 3.0″
  • Janesville – 2.9″
  • Spring Grove – 2.9″
  • Dixon – 2.8″
  • Genoa – 2.8″
  • Rockford (Northeast) – 2.8″
  • Byron – 2.7″
  • Mendota – 2.5″
  • Morrison – 2.5″
  • Rockford (Northwest) – 2.5″
  • Rock Falls – 2.4″
  • Roscoe – 2.4″
  • DeKalb – 2.2″
  • Polo – 2.2″
  • Ashton – 2.0″
  • Paw Paw – 2.0″
  • Shannon – 2.0″
  • Malta – 1.9″
Share

Posted under 13 Climate Authority, Exactrack|HD, snow, statistics, travel, weather, Wind, winter weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on January 26, 2014

Snow, Wind & Cold

Another round of snow will blanket the Stateline after midnight. The bulk of the accumulating snow will occur between 2AM and 8AM Sunday morning.  Roads will quickly deteriorate shortly after the snow begins; snow could be heavy at times with reduced visibility.  Totals will generally range from 2 to 4 inches, with perhaps a bit more in isolated spots.

Headlines

Headlines

Steady snow early Sunday morning will transition to scattered light snow showers for Sunday afternoon and evening.  A cold front will blast through late Sunday afternoon or early evening, setting the stage for gusty wind (up to 40mph), bitterly cold temperatures, and life-threatening wind chills.  Near-blizzard conditions are expected for Sunday night and Monday morning making for treacherous travel.

Snowfall Through Noon Sunday

FutureTrack Snowfall Through Noon Sunday

Then comes the frostbite weather.  Temperatures will fall below zero by Monday morning and stay there through Wednesday morning. Wind chill values will be dangerously cold…..30 to 40 below zero at times.

-Joe

Share

Posted under cold blast, FutureTrack, snow, travel, weather, Wind, winter storm, winter weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on January 25, 2014

Blowing and drifting will get worse this afternoon

radarFor areas that received more than an inch of snow (Southern Wisconsin), the gusty wind will continue to have an effect on area roads. Within the past few minutes, the Green Co. Sheriff reports that there is near white-out conditions on many roads. Please use extra  caution if you’re headed out and let someone know where you’re going and when.

windgustsThe gusty wind will continue for the late afternoon hours, causing icy road conditions. In addition, some light snow is anticipated through the evening rush. While I’m not expecting more than an inch out of this. -Eric

Share

Posted under travel

This post was written by Eric Sorensen on January 14, 2014

Snowy Travel for the New Year

heavysnowOur next winter system is bearing down on us.. just in time to make traveling difficult for New Year’s Eve plans. We will see our first flakes by mid-afternoon today, and the snow won’t exit the area until tomorrow afternoon. When all is said and done, we will add 4-8″ of fresh powder on top of our existing snow. A few localized areas even have a shot at seeing a bit more than that! The timing is what will really get us this time around. By midnight, there will already be 3-4″ on the ground in most spots, so driving conditions will not be optimal, and road chemicals will be far less effective thanks to the frigid temperatures. Be extra careful if you head out tonight, and remember buzzed driving is drunk driving. If there was ever a NYE to take extra precautions, plan ahead and be extra alert on the roadways, it is this one. – Greg

Share

Posted under safety, snow, travel

This post was written by GregBobos on December 31, 2013

Snow Years Eve

As 2013 comes to a close and 2014 is knocking on the door, Mother Nature wants to celebrate with some snow.  A long duration event, spanning Tuesday night through early Thursday morning, will bring accumulating snow to the Stateline.  With this snow event forecast to be spread out over the course of 24 to 36 hours, there are many variables that can and likely will change.

Snow will develop Tuesday evening and target our general area overnight.  A few inches of accumulation are possible from the start of the snow through early Wednesday morning.  A second piece of energy will affect the area Wednesday into Wednesday night, lingering through early Thursday.  It is during this time period that several inches of snowfall will be possible.

Several Inches of Snow Tue. PM - Thu. AM

Several Inches of Snow
Tue. PM – Thu. AM

Atmospheric conditions will allow for a narrow band of moderate snow accumulations stretching from Iowa through our area and east into Michigan.  To put this into perspective, Wisconsin Dells to our north and Peoria to our south may only pick up an inch.  There will likely be an impact on travel conditions in our region for the New Year holiday.

Again, with a prolonged period of snowfall (and since the second half of this system is still 48 hours away), change will be inevitable.  It appears that an acceptable initial snowfall forecast will be in the 3 to 6 inch range.  Locally higher totals are possible.  Chief Meteorologist Eric Sorensen will monitor and refine the forecast tonight, as the latest data becomes available.

-Joe

 

Share

Posted under snow, travel, weather, winter weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on December 30, 2013