Pleasant Weekend

Pleasant. Gorgeous. Beautiful. Nice. Spectacular. Any one of these adjectives could describe our weekend forecast!

Sunshine and a breezy south wind awaits us on Saturday. A few clouds will dot the sky but things will remain dry.

SATURDAY

Saturday Forecast

Temperatures will rise into the upper 60s across far northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin. Those living along the Interstate 88 corridor may flirt with 70 degrees by late afternoon!

FutureTrack: Saturday High Temperatures

FutureTrack: Saturday High Temperatures

Sunday will see a mix of sun and clouds and a southwest breeze….perfect for an outdoor Easter egg hunt! A cold front draped across northern Wisconsin will begin to move south by evening. A few showers are possible mainly after dark.

Sunday Forecast

Sunday Forecast

Temperatures will rise into the lower 70s, at least, for Sunday afternoon and early evening. Not bad at all!

FutureTrack: Sunday High Temperatures

FutureTrack: Sunday High Temperatures

Beyond the weekend, a fairly mild pattern will continue. Showers are a good bet on Monday and late next week.

-Joe

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Posted under FutureTrack, weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on April 18, 2014

Drought Monitor

Spring is upon us. Farmers and gardeners are paying close attention to the forecast, especially this time of year. As we all know, rainfall is a key ingredient for healthy crops, fruits, vegetables, and flowers in northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin.

Many of us begin to monitor how much rain we receive. Government agencies such as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA) provide weekly updates of the U.S. Drought Monitor. This tool keeps track of rainfall deficits and dry conditions across the country.

Apr. 17 Drought Monitor

Apr. 17 Drought Monitor

Thursday’s update shows that abnormally dry conditions are present in parts of our area.  A portion of northwestern Illinois roughly bounded by US Route 20 on the north, US Route 30 on the south, the Rock River on the east, and the Mississippi River on the west is drier than normal.

Rainfall Statistics

Rainfall Statistics for Meteorological Spring

While 1.71 inches of rain has fallen in Rockford during the month of April, just 1.03 inches of precipitation fell in March. Based on historical averages, we have a rainfall deficit of nearly an inch-and-a-half. This deficit is slightly higher in the area highlighted above.

We could use a little rain around here! A few showers are in the forecast for late-day Sunday and Monday, although current forecast trends give us less than a quarter-inch of rain.

-Joe

 

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Posted under 13 Climate Authority, drought, First Look, rain, statistics, weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on April 17, 2014

Weekend Outlook

The Easter weekend is upon us and the weather will cooperate for most of it. CaptureTomorrow will be full of sunshine and highs into the 50s. Saturday we begin to cloud up but pump up the temperatures into the low 60s! Easter Sunday brings us middle 60s and the chance for a few scattered showers, though most of those should hold off until late in the day. If you have the umbrella on standby you should be good to go! Have a great weekend! – Greg

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Posted under event, First Look, weather

This post was written by GregBobos on April 17, 2014

On Our Way Up

The last five days have been very interesting in northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin:

  • Nearly 80 degrees with strong thunderstorms on Saturday
  • Soaking, all-day rains—between 1 to 2 inches for many of us—on Sunday
  • A light coating of snow on Monday that pushed us into 5th place for most snow
  • Chilly temperatures that barely made it out of the 30s on Tuesday
  • Gusty south winds—over 40mph at times—on Wednesday

What in the world will happen next?!

The overall temperature trend is up, mild-weather fans! High temperatures will be in the middle 50s for Thursday and Friday. A few isolated sprinkles or light showers are possible, although most of those days will be dry and partly cloudy.

Trending Up

Trending Up

By the weekend, 60-degree temperatures will return to the Stateline. Sunshine will be plentiful on Saturday but showers will dot the sky on Sunday.  The 60s will stick around next Monday before our thermometers make a run for 70 degrees next Tuesday & Wednesday.

Back Above Average

Back Above Average

Feels like we’re riding a roller coaster!

-Joe

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Posted under 13 Climate Authority, weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on April 16, 2014

Total Lunar Eclipse Tonight

Tonight will be the first of 4 total lunar eclipses visible across all of North America within the next year and a half. UntitledOur chance of being able to see it is at 50% however, thanks to clouds that will be decreasing as we head through the night. The eclipse will begin at roughly 1am, be at its brightest at 2am and conclude at 3am. The moon wont fully disappear though. It will instead turn an orangish red color. This happens due to the light caused by the sunrises and sunsets across the Earth. Those red and orange tones reflect off of the moon instead of typical sunlight.1 If we miss tonight’s eclipse, the next three are listed in the chart below. Unlike solar eclipses, a lunar eclipse is visible with the naked eye and won’t cause any harm to your eyes. Happy viewing (if we are lucky)! -Greg2

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Posted under weather

This post was written by GregBobos on April 14, 2014

Flood Watch

Flood Watch is in effect for northwestern Illinois and southern Wisconsin through Monday morning. Our local Illinois counties under this watch include Carroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson and Whiteside. Our local Wisconsin counties under a Flood Watch include Green, Rock and Walworth.

Flood Watch

Flood Watch

Additionally, a Flood Watch is in effect for the Kishwaukee River in southern Winnebago County for possible rising water early this week. Periods of rain with embedded thunder will continue through Sunday afternoon, evening and overnight. Rain will be heavy at times, especially in the evening and nighttime hours.

Weekend Rainfall through 3pm Sunday

Weekend Rainfall through 3pm Sunday

Local rainfall totals from Saturday through early Sunday afternoon have varied across the area, with Rockford picking up about half an inch. Parts of Jo Daviess County and much of southern Wisconsin have seen their rain gauges add up to nearly an inch.

Additional Rainfall Potential through Monday Morning

Additional Rainfall Potential through Monday Morning

Additional rainfall of one to two inches is possible overnight through early Monday morning.

-Joe

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Posted under Exactrack|HD, flooding, FutureTrack, rain, weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on April 13, 2014

Rainy Sunday

Periods of rain, even some embedded thunderstorms, will end our weekend on a wet note.  Rain will be off-and-on throughout the day. FutureTrack suggests a break in the action early Sunday morning.

FutureTrack Sunday morning: few showers

FutureTrack Sunday morning: few showers

By late Sunday afternoon into Sunday night, rainfall may be heavy at times. Plenty of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and a frontal boundary draped through the area will provide some generous rainfall totals.

FutureTrack Sunday evening: heavy rain

FutureTrack Sunday evening: heavy rain

By the time things quiet down in the pre-dawn hours of Monday morning, a good one to two inches of rainfall will be possible.

Rainfall Potential: 1-2"

Rainfall Potential: 1-2″

We will dry things out for Monday evening and Tuesday.

-Joe

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Posted under FutureTrack, rain, weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on April 13, 2014

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

3:00am Update: A small line of storms will quickly move east out of McHenry County. The severe thunderstorm threat is over.

2:30am Update: Severe Thunderstorm Warning is in effect for Winnebago (east of IL-251), Boone, and northwest McHenry County until 3:15am. Wind gusts to 60mph, quarter-size hail, frequent lightning, heavy rain all likely with this storm. Far east Rockford, Roscoe, Cherry Valley, Belvidere, Poplar Grove, Caledonia, Timberlane, Candlewick Lake, Capron, Chemung, Harvard, Hebron all in line for this warning.

Severe T'Storm Warning until 3:15am

Severe T’Storm Warning until 3:15am

2:00am Update: Gusty wind—up to 50mph—will be possible across Lee, Ogle & Winnebago County ahead of the line of storms. The storms in Stephenson, northern Ogle and Winnebago County will contain some hail and frequent lightning.

Gusty Wind Ahead of the T'Storms

Gusty Wind Ahead of the T’Storms

1:40am Update: Severe Thunderstorm Warning is in effect for western Whiteside County and southwestern Carroll County until 2:15am. Gusts to 60mph, hail, and frequent lightning all possible with this storm. This storm will reach the Morrison and Prophetstown area around 2am.

Severe T'Storm Warning until 2:15am

Severe T’Storm Warning until 2:15am

Origional Post: Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for most of the area until 5am Sunday morning. Clusters of showers and thunderstorms over Iowa have developed into a line of thunderstorms. This line will continue to move east across Iowa and take aim at the Stateline area overnight. An approximate time frame is between midnight and 4am.

Severe T'Storm Watch until 5am

Severe T’Storm Watch until 5am

The main threats overnight will be strong gusty wind, damaging hail, frequent lightning, and heavy downpours. The threat for tornadic activity is extremely low.

11pm Exactrack HD Radar

11pm Exactrack HD Radar

I will update the blog and social media as needed throughout the night.

-Joe

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Posted under Exactrack|HD, severe weather, weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on April 12, 2014

From Wintery to Summery

Today was the warmest day of the year for most of northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin. After morning thunderstorms with hail that coated the ground—making the landscape look like the heart of winter—temperatures soared well into the 70s Saturday afternoon. Many communities in northern Illinois recorded their first 80 degree temperature since last October. That’s over six months ago!

Today’s warmth has not occurred since October 3, 2013.  On that day, temperatures reached the upper 70s across the area.  Unfortunately for us, we will have to deal with cooler than average temperatures next week. Highs will be in the 40s on Monday and Tuesday; the 50s return for the rest of the week.

-Joe

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Posted under statistics, weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on April 12, 2014

More T’Storm Development

After a day that brought ground-covering hail and temperatures near 80 to far northern Illinois, the threat for more thunderstorms is in the forecast. Scattered showers were beginning to develop in Iowa late this afternoon. It is expected that these showers further develop into thunderstorms as the afternoon and evening wears on.

waiting

Our chance for thunderstorms increases especially after sunset, as development in Iowa pushes east. A broken line of thunderstorms could produce very gusty wind and large, damaging hail. Frequent lightning and heavy rain will be likely under any thunderstorm.

threatty

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch is in effect for far northwest Illinois and south central Wisconsin until 10pm tonight.

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Keep it tuned to the weather blog, Facebook, Twitter, WREX.com, and 13 News Weekend for the latest updates.

-Joe

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Posted under Exactrack|HD, severe weather, Threatrack, weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on April 12, 2014