Thank the Wind

Most of our warm days this year have also been on the windy side, but there is a reason for that. Our warm days have typically fallen after a prolonged period where we were entrenched in cooler temperatures. If it wouldn’t have been for the wind, the few warm days we have seen would never have come about. The stiff southerly breezes we have encountered have quite literally pushed the warmer air into our area. CaptureSo, when we make it into the mid to upper 50s this afternoon, thank the 40mph wind gusts. Without them, it most likely would have been yet another day in the 40s.. far too late in the season! – Greg

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Posted under Wind

This post was written by qni_it on April 16, 2014

Windy & Warmer (Kind of)

We have had to endure two very chilly and dare I say wintry days to start this new week. It leaves all of us with fleeting memories of last week’s 60s and this past weekend’s near 80s! Our temperatures will be lucky to get much higher than 40 degrees this afternoon, but a slight warm up can be expected tomorrow and Thursday. CaptureA strong southerly wind with gusts near 40mph will develop late tomorrow morning into the afternoon. The wind will escort slightly warmer air from our south into our area boosting our temps into the mid 50s. This is still a good 5 degrees below average, but not nearly as unbearable as the 30s we have tolerated the past two days. – Greg

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Posted under Wind

This post was written by qni_it on April 15, 2014

Late Morning Storm Update

This morning has brought us a little bit of everything across the Stateline. We started the very early hours of this morning with heavy downpours. Thunder and lightning were frequent as well. Mixed in with the rainfall, heavy snowflakes impacted parts of the far Northern Illinois and Southern Wisconsin. Here is a look at the rainfall totals so far today (through 11am). 1

We expect to see some more scattered rain with the possibility of a few thunderstorms as we head into the later stages of this afternoon. High temperatures will push into the upper 40s which will cause a good deal of snow melt. Flooding will be a concern as we head into the evening hours. This evening is also when another concern will develop. The potential for snowfall will exist, and a few inches could fall before midnight. A high wind warning will be in effect from 5-11pm for Winnebago, Boone, Lee, Ogle and DeKalb County due to wind gusts upwards of 50mph. Stay tuned for more updates! – Gregradar

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Posted under rain, snow, Wind, winter weather

This post was written by qni_it on February 20, 2014

Midwest Mix-Up

TIMINGTonight into tomorrow is going to be an interesting time across the Stateline. Within an 18 hour time frame we could be dealing with the following: snow, rain, freezing rain, thunderstorms, strong wind, dense fog and flooding. Here is a look at the most likely scenario heading into tonight. It is important to note that temperatures will be within a degree or two on either side of 32°, so any slight shift in this system could drastically impact the time frame and amounts of each precip type.

Late tonight a strong area of low pressure will begin to track into our area with temperatures a few degrees shy of 32°. The initial precip will likely be mixed with snow, freezing rain and rain. The best chance for snow and freezing rain will be in far Northern Illinois near the Wisconsin border, and Southern Wisconsin. A few inches of snowfall accumulation early tomorrow morning is in the cards, but any new accumulation will quickly melt heading into the afternoon.

Mid-morning brings us a transition to mainly rain, some of which could be heavy at times, with a few embedded thunderstorms not out of the question. During the time frame of late morning into early afternoon we could see a brief lull in activity with a resurgence of rain for the rest of the afternoon, again with thunderstorm potential. Throughout this process, temperatures will climb well above freezing into the low 40s. Dense fog and localized flooding in low areas due to snow melt is likely.

The evening hours will kick up the wind as the back side of the system slides in and brings with it a shot of colder air and the potential for a few additional inches of snowfall.

Again, I stress that the smallest shift in storm track could greatly increase or decrease snowfall potential and accumulation especially heading into tomorrow morning. Stay tuned for more updates! – Greg

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Posted under flooding, fog, rain, snow, Wind, winter storm, winter weather

This post was written by qni_it on February 19, 2014

Bitter Cold Returns

Arctic high pressure will be in control of our weather through Wednesday morning. This will give us a break from the snow, but not from the cold! Temperatures will fall below zero late Sunday night and bottom out near 10 below by early Monday morning.  We’ll have to deal with a slight northwest breeze, around 10mph, so wind chill values will be even colder.

windchilladvisory

A Wind Chill Advisory is in effect for our entire area overnight through the morning hours of Monday. The advisory takes effect at 9pm for Carroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson and Whiteside County. The advisory begins at midnight for Boone, DeKalb, Green, Lee, McHenry, Ogle, Rock, Walworth and Winnebago County.

wdchadvz

Late Sunday night, our wind chill values will to plummet to 15 below zero. By sunrise Monday, wind chills will be as cold as 25 (possibly 30) below zero!  There will be some improvement by Monday afternoon (wind chill around 10 below).  Air temperatures Monday afternoon will only reach the single digits.

futuretrack

Monday night into Tuesday morning looks to have record-breaking cold temperatures. The current forecast calls for temperatures near 17 below.  Our record low of -12° from 1981 is in jeopardy.  Tuesday will top out around 10 degrees, while Wednesday makes a push for the lower 20s.

-Joe

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Posted under cold blast, FutureTrack, record weather, safety, statistics, weather, Wind, winter weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on February 9, 2014

Blizzard Conditions Overnight

A Blizzard Warning is in effect for Carroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson & Whiteside County overnight. Winter Storm Warnings are in effect for the rest of our area.  We will all deal with blizzard-like conditions through early Monday morning.  The worst of it will occur now through about 3am.

Winter Weather Alerts: Blizzard conditions area-wide

Winter Weather Alerts: Blizzard conditions area-wide

Winds have become increasingly stronger throughout the evening.  West northwest winds will be sustained between 25 and 35mph with wind gusts approaching 50mph.  Blowing and drifting with whiteout conditions are likely area-wide, with the worst being on rural roads and in open areas.

Avoid Travel Overnight

Avoid Travel Overnight

Avoid travel overnight. Numerous roads are shut down. Many cars are in ditches. Temperatures will fall below zero after midnight and wind chills will plummet to 30 below by sunrise; you do not want to be stranded in these conditions.

-Joe

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Posted under cold blast, safety, severe weather, snow, travel, Wind, winter storm, winter weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on January 26, 2014

Keeps Adding Up

A quick-moving Alberta Clipper system pushed through the area during the predawn hours of Sunday.  Between midnight and 6am, Rockford’s official climate site at Chicago Rockford International Airport observed 2.5 inches of snow.  A handful of reports from weather observers across the area fell within the 2 to 4 inch range with this latest round of snowfall.

Local Snowfall Totals as of 8am Sunday

Local Snowfall Totals as of 8am Sunday

So far for the month of January, Rockford has received 14.3 inches of snow, which is 5.7 inches more than normal.  Rockford’s seasonal total is up to 33.0 inches.  We are now 11.3 inches—almost one foot—snowier than normal through January 26th! Meteorological winter (December, January, February) averages 29.2 inches for the entire season….and we’ve already surpassed that!

A few light snow showers are possible for the rest of Sunday, especially when the cold front pushes through during the late afternoon and early evening hours.  Minor additional accumulations are possible.

Sunday Night through Monday Morning

Sunday Night through Monday Morning

The main concern will be blowing and drifting snow late Sunday, Sunday night, and Monday morning.  A light south wind will become west-northwesterly late Sunday morning as wind speeds gradually increase to 10-20mph.  By this evening, wind speeds will increase to 20-30mph with gusts to 40mph.  Near-blizzard and whiteout conditions will cause treacherous travel overnight, especially on north-south roads in open areas.

-Joe

EDIT: Additional / New Snowfall Reports

  • Loran – 4.0″
  • Whitewater – 4.0″
  • Lake Geneva – 3.4″
  • Freeport (Willow Lake) – 3.0″
  • Rockton – 3.0″
  • Janesville – 2.9″
  • Spring Grove – 2.9″
  • Dixon – 2.8″
  • Genoa – 2.8″
  • Rockford (Northeast) – 2.8″
  • Byron – 2.7″
  • Mendota – 2.5″
  • Morrison – 2.5″
  • Rockford (Northwest) – 2.5″
  • Rock Falls – 2.4″
  • Roscoe – 2.4″
  • DeKalb – 2.2″
  • Polo – 2.2″
  • Ashton – 2.0″
  • Paw Paw – 2.0″
  • Shannon – 2.0″
  • Malta – 1.9″
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Posted under 13 Climate Authority, Exactrack|HD, snow, statistics, travel, weather, Wind, winter weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on January 26, 2014

Snow, Wind & Cold

Another round of snow will blanket the Stateline after midnight. The bulk of the accumulating snow will occur between 2AM and 8AM Sunday morning.  Roads will quickly deteriorate shortly after the snow begins; snow could be heavy at times with reduced visibility.  Totals will generally range from 2 to 4 inches, with perhaps a bit more in isolated spots.

Headlines

Headlines

Steady snow early Sunday morning will transition to scattered light snow showers for Sunday afternoon and evening.  A cold front will blast through late Sunday afternoon or early evening, setting the stage for gusty wind (up to 40mph), bitterly cold temperatures, and life-threatening wind chills.  Near-blizzard conditions are expected for Sunday night and Monday morning making for treacherous travel.

Snowfall Through Noon Sunday

FutureTrack Snowfall Through Noon Sunday

Then comes the frostbite weather.  Temperatures will fall below zero by Monday morning and stay there through Wednesday morning. Wind chill values will be dangerously cold…..30 to 40 below zero at times.

-Joe

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Posted under cold blast, FutureTrack, snow, travel, weather, Wind, winter storm, winter weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on January 25, 2014

Dangerous Wind Chills Tonight

A wind chill advisory will be in effect across the Stateline from tonight at 9pm through tomorrow at noon. advisoryOvernight low temperatures will drop into the negative single digits as the wind increases. Wind chills as cold as -25° are likely late tonight into tomorrow morning. The early signs of frostbite can settle in within the first 10-30 minutes of direct exposure to temperatures this cold. Layer up and please watch our for your pets and animals! – Gregsmorn

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Posted under cold blast, weather, Wind, winter weather

This post was written by qni_it on January 22, 2014

Frostbite Weather

Dangerous—even life-threatening—cold temperatures and wind chills will keep the Stateline area in the deep freeze through Wednesday morning.  Not only will a gusty north-northwest wind cause blowing and drifting snow in open and rural areas, it will cause our wind chill values to be extremely cold.

Wind Chill Warning

Wind Chill Warning

Our general wind speed will be between 15 and 25mph with gusts up to 35mph now through Monday evening. From Monday night through Tuesday evening, winds will lessen to 10 to 20mph with a few higher gusts.  Air temperatures will bottom out around 20 below zero Monday morning and only rise to near 13 below zero by afternoon.  Temperatures will likely stay below zero for most of us all day Tuesday and not return to the positive side until late Wednesday morning.

Our forecast air temperature and wind speed will allow for wind chill values between 45 and 30 below zero through Tuesday night.  The coldest readings will occur overnight and Monday.

FutureTrack Wind Chill

FutureTrack Wind Chill

What does this mean? Frostbite might occur if you are outdoors with exposed skin in as little as 10 to 30 minutes.  It is best to stay indoors. If you must be outdoors take extra precautions. Wear extra layers of clothing. Have that winter preparedness kit in your vehicle.  And don’t forget about our four-legged friends. Animals can get frostbite too.

Wind Chill Chart

Wind Chill Chart

Stay safe and warm!

-Joe

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Posted under cold blast, FutureTrack, record weather, safety, severe weather, weather, Wind, winter weather

This post was written by Joe Astolfi on January 5, 2014