Two bouts with winter in the next two days

Light snow will develop over Northern Illinois and Southern Wisconsin late tonight into Thursday morning. Accumulations will most likely be around an inch (or two at best) in the Rockford metro.

A more potent system will work out of Kansas on Friday in a track that is more favorable for snow for our area. Early forecasts indicate the potential for 3-6 inches with lighter amounts south of Rockford. A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for Green, Rock, and Walworth however the NWS in Milwaukee may have put that out too early as the models have trended downward with snowfall forecast amounts. It does not appear that this will warrant anything more than a Snow Advisory (or perhaps a Winter Weather Advisory for areas south of I-88). More details to come. -ERIC

Share

Posted under Uncategorized

This post was written by qni_it on December 26, 2007

New Year’s Eve Will be a Blast

I have a pretty good feeling that New Year’s Eve will be a blast. I’m sure the noisemakers and festivities will be an immense amount of fun, but the blast I am talking about doesn’t sound quite that enjoyable.

We will begin to feel a blast of arctic air by the time the ball drops on 2008. The graphic shown here is a look at temperatures in the lower portions of the atmosphere the afternoon of January 1st. We will enter into a strong northerly flow, which will cause temperatures to drop well below normal for the beginning of January. To the snow lovers cheering for lots of snow from Friday’s system, remember that the more snow on the ground, the more intense this arctic outbreak will be. -ADAM

Share

Posted under Uncategorized

This post was written by qni_it on December 26, 2007

A New Way to Forecast the Weather


So since it’s Christmas and the weather was 40 degrees and sunny today…I thought I would take a different route from the normal blog posts. Today I ran across this article about a farmer from North Dakota who uses a different way to forecast the weather. I think I might run this option by Eric and Adam and see what they say. haha.

I will recap the story for you here…but the story can be found on redorbit.com under Oddities.

Cattle farmer Paul Smokov of Steele North Dakota…uses pig spleens yes that’s right pig spleens to forecast snow storms. According to Smokov…if the spleen is wide where it attaches to the pig’s stomach and then narrows..it usually means weather will arrive early followed by a mild spring. A narrow-to-wide spleen can mean harsh weather in the spring.

Smokov’s says his spleens are accurate 85% of the time. So far the National Weather Service out of Bismarck’s three month outlook is calling for a normal winter in North Dakota which matches up with Smokov’s.

I also have Christmas Weather Trivia for you.

On Christmas in 1836: The United Kingdom’s heavist snowstorm leaves drifts more than 7 metres high in some places…and many are killed.

1974: Cyclone Tracey destroys much of Darwin in Northern Territory, Australia. 60 people are killed and winds reach up to 217 kilometers per hour.

1988: A winter snowstorm over Las Vegas produces a white Christmas for the first time on record.

Share

Posted under Uncategorized

This post was written by qni_it on December 26, 2007

Foggy days are over!

Adam Weddle of Freeport sent me these pictures of the fog over the weekend. He happens to know that I grew up with a love for trains. Capturing trains AND the weather in the same shots? Yeah, they have to go on the blog!

Adam, great shots of the IC engines…and for anyone who’s NOT a fan of trains? Maybe the next time the RXR crossing gates go down in front of your car the train will be this short! -ERIC

Share

Posted under Uncategorized

This post was written by qni_it on December 25, 2007

Not enough snow on the ground?

Kids who receive sleds tomorrow morning may have a little trouble making it down the hill with only an inch of snow on the ground. Just tell them they only need to wait a day or so.

We’re in for a 1-3 inch snow Wednesday with a more potent storm arriving on Friday. The graphic to the left is the model output for midday Friday. It shows a healthy area of developing low pressure over Southeastern Wisconsin. The 32° (540) line is well to the south indicating a potential for snowfall. Could be a 4-8 incher should it materialize just right. A more in-depth analysis will come later tonight/tomorrow. -ERIC

Share

Posted under Uncategorized

This post was written by qni_it on December 24, 2007

Car crashes into TV station during report on cold weather

A van crashed into the streetside studios of WLS-TV in Chicago during the Sunday 10:00pm live broadcast. Luckily no one was injured in the incident.
[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FPnLqFkEk0Y&rel=1]

Share

Posted under Uncategorized

This post was written by qni_it on December 24, 2007

Christmas ‘Cast

If you are headed over the river and through the woods to Grandma’s house today, you shouldn’t have to worry about slippery roadways. After a busy weather weekend, it looks pretty quiet for Christmas Eve and Christmas Day.

Making headlines for your Christmas forecast is that we will get to see that “white” Christmas. The snow that we got Saturday night should stick around through tomorrow as our temperatures will be staying in the 20s all day today. The other headline is that the tranquil weather means smooth sailing for Santa. He should have no problem zipping around the Stateline as lows dip into the upper teens under partly cloudy skies tonight. Christmas Day will bring us an increase in sunshine as well as an increase in temperatures. Highs will jump into the mid-30s by the time all of the gift unwrapping is done. -ADAM

Share

Posted under Uncategorized

This post was written by qni_it on December 24, 2007

Windy Day Across the Stateline

Winds whipped through the stateline with gusts up to 40 and 45 mph. Although Norhtern Illinois managed to escape the blizzard that blasted through Kansas and Oklahoma. Meteorologists define a blizzard as the duration of sustained winds or frequent gusts to 35 mph or more and plenty of falling or blowing snow that reduces visibilities to less than a quarter of a mile for 3 hours or more.
While Illinois did experience heavy wind gusts today and minor blowing snow…it would not qualify as a blizzard….fortunately.

I guess Kansas must be experiencing a repeat performance of last year because last Christmas similar conditions hit the state. I should know because my family and I traveled to Denver for the holidays last year and we got delayed in Kansas due to a major snow storm. And then coming back we got stranded in Denver for New Years because of another storm system.

The Wind Advisory is still in effect until 9 pm tonight for Rockford…DeKalb….and Winnebago…Boone…McHenry…and DeKalb counties.

The Wind Advisory has expired for Oregon and Dixon.

A Wind Advisory means that either sustained winds of 30 to 39 MPH are expected to last at least an hour…or that winds will gust to between 45 and 57 MPH. Winds this strong can make driving difficult…especially for high profile vehicles. Use Extra Caution.

Share

Posted under Uncategorized

This post was written by qni_it on December 24, 2007

Fog, Rain, Snow, and Wind Oh My!!!

Here are the four main weather conditions to be mindful of this weekend:

1. Fog. Yes the advisory has been lifted for the stateline…but as of right now…visibility is definately still very limited.
Here are the visibility right now in terms of miles for the following towns:

Madison, WI: .50 miles
Milwaukee, WI: .13 miles
Monroe, WI: .25 mies
Beloit, WI: .25 miles
Lake Geneva, WI: Zero visiblity

Galena, IL: 4 miles
Freeport, IL: .25 miles
Rockford, IL: .25 miles
Dixon, IL: .50 miles
Rochelle, IL: .25 miles
DeKalb: .25 miles
LaSalle, IL: 4 miles
Please be careful as you drive tonight and allow extra time to reach your destination.

2. Rain: Rain started mid morning today welcoming you to the start of winter. As we go into the overnight hours the rain will begin to taper off and transition into snow.

3. Snow: Snow will begin to fall later this evening and last into the early morning hours.
Snow will accumulate 1-2 inches per hour for a time Saturday night causing very bad driving and visibility issues.
Snowfall accumulations will be heaviest west of Rockford where more than six inches is expected. For DeKalb, Sycamore, and McHenry County, only 1-3 inches with this one. Rockford’s in the middle (average) area with totals that will come in on the high side of 3-6 inches. Snow tomorrow will start off in the morning and taper off into flurries by tomorrow afternoon.

4. Wind.
Gusts will approach 40mph Saturday night. Should we remain strong for a period of three hours, this weather may approach Blizzard Warning criteria. We will advise but travel Saturday night. Winds will come from the west tomorrow with gusts reaching up to 40 mph.

Share

Posted under Uncategorized

This post was written by qni_it on December 23, 2007

Snowfall Forecast

10pm Update – The evening models are just coming in. If anything they are a little more potent and a little slower! It still appears we’ll switchover in the evening…perhaps between 7 and 10pm now. The heaviest precip should be moving in at that time so it’ll be like someone snapped a finger with rain one minute and an immediate changeover to snow. The going forecast seems good…won’t make any changes. NWS offices going to keep the Winter Storm Watches going and will upgrade with their 4am updates. I will go ahead and put our WeatherWatch bug up on the screen late night tonight so keep it tuned to WREX for the update early Saturday morning. -ERIC

The 18z (midday) computer models are coming in which yield a stronger storm overall for Saturday. The axis of heaviest snow 6-12 inches will include Jo Daviess, western Stephenson, western Carroll, and the western half of Whiteside. Areas east will see a significantly less snow from this system. Chicagoland will be in the 1-3 inches with the far south suburbs staying mostly as rain. Rockford will be in the center of the 3-6 inch swath. Should this system deviate from its forecast course, we will need to change the snowfall forecast. Stay tuned for more information. -ERIC

Share

Posted under Uncategorized

This post was written by qni_it on December 21, 2007