Hurricane Katia: waiting in the wings?

While the area of low pressure is just designated a tropical depression, there is a near 100% chance of it becoming Tropical Storm Katia as soon as tonight. If that wasn’t enough, all but one global forecast model develop Katia into a hurricane within three days (graphic to the right). Out to 132 hours, the majority develop Katia into a major hurricane.

My first impressions of Katia: It’s starting out a little too far north to bring it into the Caribbean Sea (which is good). In addition, the spaghetti-plot (graphic on the left) keep it on a west-northwest track which could allow it to eventually be picked up by a trough and ricocheted northward, on a track similar but further out to sea than Irene.

Time will tell. There’s certainly no reason to get excited about this as it is at least one week from any landmass. -ES

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Posted under tropical weather

This post was written by qni_it on August 29, 2011

12 Comments so far

  1. Jim Maier August 29, 2011 7:31 PM

    Would be nice from a rainfall perspective if by some freak happenstance it would end up sending some rain to Texas. Austin is a mess:
    http://photoblog.statesman.com/dry-season-the-texas-drought-of-2011

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