A very wet November would have significant impact on spring flooding

October will be remembered as a month with very little rainfall. Officially, we received only 1.58 inches which is exactly an inch below normal for October.

The weather pattern for the first few weeks of November won’t necessarily be a cold one for the Upper Midwest, it will be a much wetter one! The jetstream is expected to dive south along the Pacific coast, bringing bouts of chilly weather to the Desert Southwest. As the jet steers storm systems into the Central United States it should allow a nice conveyor of moisture to work north out of the Gulf of Mexico. There are indications we could receive upwards of 3 inches of rainfall for the first half of the month. That’s significant considering November’s monthly precipitation average is just 3.15 inches!

This type of situation is important and could have long-term implications for winter and even spring. During wet autumns, moisture is absorbed into the soil and stored throughout the winter. This, coupled with a forecast of abundant snowfall next season, could mean a significant risk of late-winter, early-spring flooding! -ES

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Posted under rain

This post was written by qni_it on October 30, 2011

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