First snowfall accumulation next week?

Today, I introduced our first chance of some rain/snow mix for next Wednesday night into Thursday. The GFS (image to the left) develops a low pressure system over the Texas panhandle. The stormtrack goes from Tulsa to St. Louis to South Bend which keeps us on the cold, northwest side of the storm. This track would bring a very cold rain to the area, changing to snow or mixed precipitation Wednesday night into Thursday morning.

The other reliable model, the European (or ECMWF) keeps the storm system going from the Texas panhandle toward Cape Girardeau, Missouri, and then straight east into Virginia…much farther south. This scenario would keep most of the rain (and light mix) to Central Illinois Wednesday night into Thursday.

Anytime we are talking about specifics on a storm five days out, there will be tweaks and shifts. Just looking at the calendar suggests the snowy scenario is a long shot. However, folks in Denver and the winter storm in the Northeastern United States believe in long shots.

For tradition-sake: Stay tuned! -ES

 

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Posted under winter storm

This post was written by qni_it on October 28, 2011

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