Half & Half

We are slowly inching toward the weekend and have reached a point where the 7 day outlook is split in half. The first half, will be much of the same that we have already been experiencing throughout this first week of fall. Our cloud cover will be limited, and our temperatures will gradually be on the increase. CaptureHighs in the low 80s are a good bet on both Friday and Saturday.. then the second half settles in. Late Saturday into Sunday morning a cool front will track across the area bringing with it the chance for showers and thunderstorms (so much for our sunshine.. at least for a little while). On the back side of the showers, our temperatures will once again be limited to the low 70s. – GregCapture2


Posted under First Look, rain, sunlight, weather

This post was written by qni_it on September 25, 2013

Two summer droughts in a row, two robust winters in a row…

Drought conditions persist across the Midwest heading into Fall, making some people ask if we’ll start making up for our dry weather once winter starts. Today, I decided to look back at the past two years of precipitation data. The black line represents the average precipitation. If the white bar goes into the blue-green, it’s a month with a surplus of precip. And if the white line stays in the orange, you guessed it, that’s a dry month.

What can we take away from this? Most importantly, you can see the highly variable nature of our precipitation. This has been much more variable in the past few years versus a decade or two back. And this variability is hard to forecast! One thing is for certain, our dry streak WILL end. Question is whether it will do so before we’re cold enough for snow? Considering it will be cold enough for snow in about 6-8 weeks, I wouldn’t bet on it! -Eric


Posted under climate/climate change, snow

This post was written by qni_it on September 24, 2013

High and Dry

This first week of fall is looking nearly picture perfect. Bright sunshine will be in control every afternoon until we head into the weekend, and our temperatures will slowly edge up near 80 degrees by Friday. We have high pressure to thank for the beautiful afternoons. CaptureHigh pressure acts like a shield keeping cloud cover away from areas it dominates. The stronger the area of high pressure, the less likely cloud formation is and the less likely that rain chances will rise above the good old goose egg (0%). This relatively strong high pressure system will stay in place until it begins to meander to the southeast heading toward the weekend. The only downside to this bright forecast is the fact that we could really use some rain here across the Stateline, however, Saturday night into Sunday morning we are poised for what could be a good dousing of rain. -Greg


Posted under rain, sunlight

This post was written by qni_it on September 24, 2013

Drought conditions will persist well into October

You’ve gotta wonder when we’ll make up for the lack of rainfall. With the latest model guidance in, we’re not set for any gang-buster rains until at least the second week of October! Consider this, if we don’t get into a wet pattern until November or December, we could be making up for our summer and fall deficit in the form of winter storms!

tempHere’s a look at the latest #GFS model for Rockford. Over the next 16 days, we are set to receive 1.44 inches of rainfall. However on average we should see 1.72 inches over that timeframe. While models are subject to change, the overall pattern looks pretty dry.

This isn’t as bad as getting drought conditions in June and July when the crops are growing, but it does make a difference when we look at area water tables (still low from last year’s drought).

untitledHere’s a look at the seven day precipitation forecast for the whole country. There is good news here: Drought-stricken areas of Texas and Louisiana are set to get some healthy rains. The unfortunate part of it is the cool front approaching from the west this weekend may rain itself out before it gets here. We’ll see! -Eric


Posted under climate/climate change, drought

This post was written by qni_it on September 23, 2013

Lee County is now “StormReady”

Jim Allsopp, National Weather Service Warning Coordination Meteorologist and Kevin Lalley, Lee County Emergency Management Coordinator

Jim Allsopp, National Weather Service Warning Coordination Meteorologist and Kevin Lalley, Lee County Emergency Management Coordinator

National Weather Service Report – Lee County is now a StormReady county. StormReady, a program started in 1999 in Tulsa, OK, helps arm America’s counties and communities with the communication and safety skills needed to save lives and property – before and during the event. StormReady helps county and community leaders and emergency managers strengthen local safety programs. StormReady counties are better prepared to save lives from the onslaught of severe weather through advanced planning, education and awareness. No county is storm proof, but StormReady can help counties save lives.

Lee is the 23rd county in Illinois to meet the StormReady requirements. Some of the requirements include:

·         Having redundant methods of receiving NWS watches and warnings

·         Having redundant methods of disseminating warnings throughout the county

·         Deploying NOAA Weather Radios in all public buildings

·         Monitoring weather

·         Public education programs

·         Trained Skywarn storm spotters and communications with the NWS

·         Annual severe weather drills or table top exercises

For more information about the StormReady program, visit www.stormready.noaa.gov


Posted under safety

This post was written by qni_it on September 23, 2013

What Goes Up Must Go Down

We have entered the first full day of fall 2013 and are on the verge of a mini warming trend that will push us back toward 80 by the end of the week. Our temperatures will slowly climb a little each day starting today straight through Friday, but the bottom will fall out as we hit the weekend. Fall2013Upper 60s and low 70s will return just in time for the weekend, and we should start getting used to that temperature range. Our average high goes from 73 degrees today to 70 degrees by Saturday. If that isn’t a bit of a wake up call that cooler times are ahead then here is one for you, on October 10th the average low temperature will hit 32 degrees. – Greg


Posted under statistics, weather

This post was written by qni_it on September 23, 2013

Welcome to Fall

We say goodbye to Summer 2013 on Sunday afternoon. At 3:44pm on September 22nd, the autumnal equinox occurs and the Fall season arrives in the Stateline.  Falling leaves and falling temperatures will take us through this new season.  The average high temperature in Rockford on the equinox is 73 degrees; the average low is 49 degrees.  By the winter solstice, those average temperatures will drop off drastically: 32 for our high, 16 for our low.


This year, the first week of Fall will buck the decreasing temperature trend. High temperatures by midweek will top out around 80 degrees!



Posted under 13 Climate Authority, climate/climate change, statistics, weather

This post was written by qni_it on September 21, 2013

Weather blooper

Before I leave work on Friday nights, I record the weather that will play on the radio Saturday morning. Tonight I had just a little bit of trouble.

If the player doesn’t automatically pop up, click here: http://addins.wrex.com/blogs/weather/wp-content/uploads/2013/09/sunday.mp3


Posted under humor

This post was written by qni_it on September 20, 2013

Most successful weather radio campaign in the country

UntitledI just got word yesterday that we achieved a major feat this year! You may have attended one of our 7 NOAA Weather Radio events in May and June. Hopefully your home is equipped with one, ready to alert you the next time there’s a tornado warning where you live.

Now we know how many more homes are ready for the next tornado. Midland Weather Radio has announced that our campaign was the most successful in the entire country! We were able to help distribute 2,100 radios in seven weeks. That number is significant when compared to the number of households in our viewing area.  Jim Allsopp, Warning Coordination Meteorologist from the National Weather Service Chicago says “I was blown away by the response at their events.”

I’d like to thank you for making an investiment that will provide many years of safety! If you don’t have a NOAA Weather Radio, you can pick one up at area RadioShack stores and online. If you have any questions, feel free to email us at weather@wrex.com

Thanks again! -Eric


Posted under safety

This post was written by qni_it on September 20, 2013

Severe Thunderstorms Possible Thursday Evening


10:00pm – Severe weather threat has ended. -Eric

(8:54 PM) nwsbot: LOT cancels Severe Thunderstorm Watch for Boone, Ogle, Winnebago [IL]

(8:16 PM) nwsbot: Local Storm Report by NWS MKX: 2 N Janesville [Rock Co, WI] public reports HAIL of quarter size (M1.00 INCH) at 08:04 PM CDT —


(7:13 PM) nwsbot: Local Storm Report by NWS MKX: 1 N Afton [Rock Co, WI] trained spotter reports TSTM WND DMG at 05:59 PM CDT — large tree limb down – 6 to 8 inch diameter. time estimated from radar.

7:00pm – All severe weather warnings have been canceled as of 7pm. However, thunderstorms with dime-sized hail are possible through 7:30 for Freeport. -EricTHREATRACK

(5:53 PM) nwsbot: MKX issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [tornado: POSSIBLE, wind: 70 MPH, hail: <.75 IN] for Dane, Green, Jefferson, Rock, Walworth, Waukesha [WI] till 6:45 PM CDT

(5:40 PM) nwsbot: MKX issues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [wind: 70 MPH, hail: <.75 IN] for Rock [WI] till 6:00 PM CDT

5:37 PM) nwsbot: Local Storm Report by NWS MKX: Monroe Airport [Green Co, WI] awos reports TSTM WND GST of M61 MPH at 05:35 PM CDT — awos measured 53kt wind gust


(5:33 PM) nwsbot: Local Storm Report by NWS MKX: 3 SW Monroe [Green Co, WI] amateur radio reports TSTM WND GST of M65 MPH at 05:20 PM CDT — tree branches 4 inch diameter snapped and downed power lines.

(4:59 PM) nwsbot: MKX continues Severe Thunderstorm Warning [tornado: POSSIBLE, wind: 70 MPH, hail: 1.25 IN] for Dane, Green, Iowa, Lafayette [WI] till 5:30 PM CDT

4:25pm – Due to the fact temperatures topped out about 6 degrees warmer than anticipated, our threat of severe thunderstorms has increased this evening. Damaging wind will be the main threat. For that reason, we will increase to Threatrack-2. This means there is at least a 20% chance of severe weather in your area this evening. -Eric


Posted under severe weather

This post was written by qni_it on September 19, 2013