Second biggest winter storm of the season!

snowThe biggest snow of the season came on December 31-January 1 when a little more than six inches of snow fell across the Rock River Valley. Back on December 22nd, we got 5 inches. So it’s quite likely that Saturday’s snow will be the second most snow we get out of any system. The graphic to the left shows the probability of snowfall in the Rockford area. The bigger the number, the higher the likelihood we get that much snow. Easy to see that the 5 and 6 are biggest which means we have a high likelihood of getting that much snow.

snowHere’s a look at some hometown numbers. Note that the higher amounts are forecast to be south of I-88. In that area, a Winter Storm Warning is in effect. All other areas are in a Winter Weather Advisory. The snow will ramp up during the predawn hours of Saturday. An inch or two is likely for the early morning. Snow will become heaviest around 10am Saturday when it will come down at a very good clip! In fact, some 1-2″ per hour snows are possible during the mid-morning. However, this won’t last too long as the snow will taper off in the late afternoon.

We’d love to hear what’s happening where you are. If you have something to report, snowfall measurements or road conditions, let Joe Astolfi and me know via Twitter. @wxjoea @ericsorensen

Share

Posted under snow

This post was written by qni_it on January 31, 2014

Incoming Snow

Here is a look at the best timing for our snow accumulation. We will see some flakes this evening into the first half of the night, but the bulk of the heavier snow settles in later. – Greg halffoot

Share

Posted under snow, winter storm, winter weather

This post was written by qni_it on January 31, 2014

New way to forecast snow?

satTonight at ten, I showed you a different snowfall forecast graphic. This one (at left) has many numbers on it. The bigger the number, the higher the likelihood we get that amount of snow. So, the 1 and the 10 are very small which mean we have a very small chance of receiving that amount. So for all intents and purposes, this is a general 3-6 inch snowfall forecast.

2Next week, the numbers get a little bigger because the models are still all over the place. I can’t logically narrow down the possibilities. But as time wears on and more data comes in, the forecast will get more accurate and some of the numbers get smaller. So, a forecast that I have high confidence in will have one, giant number with smaller numbers on the sides.

Does this make sense? What do you think of this new idea? I’d like your feedback…both positive and negative. E-Mail me at esorensen@wrex.com.

Share

Posted under snow

This post was written by qni_it on January 30, 2014

Way Ahead of the Game

Take a look at the snowfall comparison between this winter, last winter and the average amount through this date. We are blowing both numbers out of the water and aren’t even close to being done. – Greg snowfall

Share

Posted under snow, statistics

This post was written by qni_it on January 30, 2014

Warmer temperatures overnight

You can thank a southwesterly wind and increasing cloud cover for keeping temperatures int the teensĀ above zero tonight!
temptracker

Share

Posted under cold blast

This post was written by qni_it on January 29, 2014

Wind-driven snow expected on Thursday

snowfallSnowfall will accumulate lightly on Thursday. However, a gusty wind out of the southwest will cause more problems on the roads! The morning commute will be just fine as most of the snow will begin falling after 9 in the morning. The snow will be coming down at a good clip during the lunch hour with the system snow tapering to flurries by the afternoon. Again, this isn’t going to be a big deal, accumulation-wise. But the howling wind will reduce visibilities and cause some drifting in open areas. Plan accordingly! -Eric

Share

Posted under snow

This post was written by qni_it on January 29, 2014

11

Share

Posted under weather

This post was written by qni_it on January 29, 2014

10

Share

Posted under weather

This post was written by qni_it on January 29, 2014

9

Share

Posted under weather

This post was written by qni_it on January 29, 2014

8

Share

Posted under weather

This post was written by qni_it on January 29, 2014