Will we lose a lot of snow this weekend?

February 6th, 2015: We are now almost a week removed from last weekend’s blizzard, and the snow depth remained unchanged this week, with much of the ground around the Stateline covered by a foot of snow. With the prospect of above freezing temperatures this weekend, will the snow depth change dramatically?

Earlier this winter, we had a string of snowy days that amount to a snow depth of 6″ by mid-January. A streak of milder weather set in at that point, and between the mild temperatures and at least partial sunshine, we were able to melt off all of the snow within about a week.

The change in snow depth from earlier this winter. The top portion shows the high temperature each day plus the average amount of cloud cover, with the bottom columns showing the snow depth at the end of each day.

The change in snow depth from earlier this winter. The top portion shows the high temperature each day plus the average amount of cloud cover, with the bottom columns showing the snow depth at the end of each day.

This graphic illustrates that there is a decent amount of energy that has to go into our environment to melt off that amount of snow. We lost an inch of snow per day between the 15th and the 19th, but that was because we had temperatures above freezing each afternoon plus some sunshine each day, and it still took 5 days to melt off all of the snow.

In our current case, we have double the amount of snow, and the forecast in the sunshine department doesn’t look too promising.  We should be able to see our snow depth numbers go down a little over the weekend, but it will take a good stretch of mild day coupled with sunshine, like earlier this winter, before it all goes away.

-Alex

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Posted under snow, weather, winter weather

This post was written by Alex Kirchner on February 6, 2015

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