Wild start to February

Feb. 3, 2017: Conditions may be cold now, but that won’t be the case very soon. Temperatures will start dancing up and down over the next week.

Starting this weekend, we’ll be on the upswing, eventually jumping above freezing for a few days. A weather system coming in from the Pacific Northwest provides a glancing blow of flurries, blustery winds, plenty of clouds, yet warmer weather this weekend. Temps continue to jump upward and into the 40’s for early next week, putting us about 10 degrees above average for this time of year, and making conditions warm enough for rain instead of snow!

We’ll go right back again to cold weather by the middle of next week. Temperatures may be as low at 10 degrees below average by the end of next week, which would be a 20 degree swing in a day or two. The drop sets us up for a little snow as well in the middle of the week.

These large temperature swings aren’t out of the ordinary, and definitely keeps the weather interesting! Looking well ahead, long-range forecasts show more of this up-and-down weather this month, so temperature swings will be something to get used to.

-Alex

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This post was written by Alex Kirchner on February 3, 2017

Happy Groundhog Day!

Feb. 2, 2017: The furry “forecasters” have spoken! Punxsutawney Phil and Woodstock Willy both saw their shadows, so as legend has it, spring will not come early and we’ll have 6 more weeks of winter.

ghog day

Fun and games aside, March 20th is the official start of spring, regardless of what our fuzzy friends have to say about. The weather hasn’t felt much like winter lately, either!

 

la nina temps

la nina precip

December was near average for temperatures, and above average for snow, so that month felt like winter. January, however, was well above average for temperatures, to the point where we had the 14th warmest January on record for Rockford. We also had barely any snow- 8th least snowy January on record to be exact after only 0.7″ of snow!

What’s ahead for February? Here’s what the Climate Prediction Center has to say. They have a little more knowledge on forecasting than a large rodent ;).

The CPC is forecasting above average temperatures for our neck of the woods this month. We may not be that much above average, but that could mean those days in the low 40’s pop up more regularly.

off15_temp

We also may see a little more precipitation than usual in our region, though that doesn’t mean snow necessarily, like we saw last month!

off15_prcp

January was above average by nearly an inch for precipitation, with the vast majority of that being liquid rather than frozen.

One things for sure– we still have some cold days to go before we are fully into the spring season! Follow the advice of the groundhog and bundle up!

-Alex

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This post was written by Alex Kirchner on February 2, 2017