Heavy snow likely between I-80 and I-88

radar

A batch of very heavy snow currently stretches from north of Galesburg to Mendota to Chicago. Thunder is possible as this lifts northeast. Notice the sharp cut off south of Rochelle from heavy snow to nothing at all. That’s going to be the story of the night. Areas south of Rockford will see heavy snow while the Forest City escapes most of the snow. For that reason, we’re expecting little/no complications for the morning commute. However, if you’re headed a half hour east on I-90 or a half hour south on I-39, you will run into a heavy, wet snow. Drive carefully!

2Areas along I-88 will receive 3-6 inches of snow, while Freeport and Rockford may only see an inch or two. -Eric

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This post was written by qni_it on March 11, 2014

Morning Rush

Our snow system had the models all worked up last night and early this morning, but things have settled down and we are back to expecting just a few inches here across the Stateline. The timing puts the snow overnight into tomorrow morning. So, of course, our morning commute could suffer. Even minimal snow accumulation could make for a slippery and longer travel from point A to point B tomorrow, so if you have to head out, be sure to hit the road a few minutes early and take it slow! – GregUntitled

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Posted under snow, travel, winter weather

This post was written by qni_it on March 11, 2014

Evening models: More robust with snow for Northern Illinois

futuretrackThe evening models are in and have taken a discernable shift northward with the snow potential for Tuesday night/Wednesday morning. While the morning runs had Central Illinois in the highest probability, they’ve definitely come north into Northern Illinois. While some of the models (including Futuretrack) to the left are extreme, they aren’t to be totally thrown out. Would I bet the farm on Rockford getting over 6 inches? Heck no! But there is a chance we get there. March systems historically produce more precipitation. What’s interesting to me is the models seem to be taking into account the melting snowcover. Low pressure systems usually track just south of the line that divides snowpack and bare ground. With a day and a half of melting, that is now along the I-88 corridor. So, a stormtrack from Peoria to Lafayette, Indiana seems pretty legit to me. That puts Northern Illinois in a sweet spot for snow early Wednesday. My gut right now says 3-6″ for Rockford, but if the available moisture increases (and we keep it falling as all snow), this could end up being a full-fledged winter storm for Northern Illinois in 24 hours.

I have a feeling the models will merge together with respect to consistency with the morning runs. We’ll keep you updated for sure! What’s funny is I’ve made it through the whole winter season without needing to camp overnight here…looks like we may have a big one after all. -Eric

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This post was written by qni_it on March 10, 2014

March snowstorm coming to Illinois & Indiana

On Monday, high temperatures surged into the 50s and 60s across Illinois and Indiana. St. Louis even made it up around 80°! However, there could be quite a snowstorm for the Midwest Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The devil is in the details however.

Capture
This graphic shows the difference in solutions between our different computer models. While the NAM model puts down quite a bit of snow across far Northern Illinois, there are solutions that hammer downstate Illinois with snow. When there is no consistency between the models, it’s important to see where they overlap. So, the brighter white color on the map is where the highest chance of heavy snow will be. Winter Storm Watches are in effect for Northern Indiana in advance of this system. Somebody could receive around 6 inches of snow.

For Rockford, light rain will change to light snow around 10pm Tuesday with some bursts of heavy snow likely along the I-88 corridor for Wednesday morning. However, this is subject to change so stay tuned! -Eric

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This post was written by qni_it on March 10, 2014

3rd Place: Good or Bad?

SNOW. There hasn’t been a lot of “in between” this season; you either love it or hate it. Since November 11th, Rockford has witnessed 54.9 inches of snow. Little did we know that on December 8th, a record long stretch of days with snow on the ground would begin!

Since December 8th, our weather observation site at Chicago Rockford International Airport has steadily picked up 53.9 inches of snow. Thanks to record cold temperatures and a weather pattern that brought the white stuff as frequently as every other day, snow has remained on the ground for 90 days!

snowstats1

We’re in record territory. December 9, 2013 through March 8, 2014 is currently the 3rd longest stretch of days with snow on the ground. This edges out an 89-day period with snow on the ground from 1977-1978.

As of March 8, 2014

As of March 8, 2014

Here are the Top 5 longest stretches of days with snow on the ground in Rockford:

  1. 107 days ending March 18, 1979
  2. 97 days ending March 18, 1962
  3. 90 days so far this season
  4. 89 days ending March 18, 1978
  5. 59 days ending February 11, 1984

With a warming trend in our forecast, our streak may soon come to an end. If we keep snow on the ground through next Saturday—which is possible—we will tie for 2nd place!

-Joe

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Posted under 13 Climate Authority, record weather, snow, statistics, weather, winter weather

This post was written by qni_it on March 8, 2014

Another Snowy Wake Up

This morning we all woke up to snow covered sidewalks and streets. The accumulation was minimal, but enough to slow down the morning commute. Tomorrow morning will start off in a similar manner, however some folks could be waking up to even more snow than this morning. A weakening clipper system will track across the area tonight into the first hours of tomorrow morning. 1We can expect roughly 2-4 inches of snow from the system with the higher totals piling up to the west, especially along the Mississippi. Areas to the east and south of Rockford are likely to see the smallest totals. -Greg

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This post was written by qni_it on March 4, 2014

Two rounds of snow

1Get ready for a new coating of snow early Tuesday. While accumulations won’t be that great (only around an inch), there will be just enough to cause some slick driving conditions. Allow some extra time! There’s nothing worse than being in a hurry on a snowy morning. And get used to driving on snow-covered roads because there’s more coming Tuesday night.

2Tuesday night into Wednesday morning looks to be a bit heavier. Some models are giving us more than 3 inches. Here’s a look at the amounts on Futuretrack (including what is forecast for early Tuesday). So totals will likely end up in the 2-5 inch range. Be careful everybody! -Eric

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This post was written by qni_it on March 3, 2014

March 2nd Record Cold

It has been a record-filled first weekend of March. First came the snow on Saturday and then the cold on Sunday.

Thanks to two rounds of snow during the 24-hour period of March 1st, a total of 4.6 inches of snow fell at Chicago Rockford International Airport. This was the highest one-day total observed on any March 1st since 1906! The previous record was just 2.0 inches from 1943.

Local High Temps: March 2, 2014

Local High Temps: March 2, 2014

As arctic air settled in on Sunday, the high temperature in Rockford only topped out at a chilly 9 degrees. This is the coldest high temperature ever observed on any March 2nd since 1906. In fact, Sunday’s high replaced a 102-year-old record! The previous record was 14 degrees from 1912. What’s even more interesting is that March 2, 2014 will likely enter the record books as the coldest March high temperature ever!!! Until now, the coldest March high was 10 degrees on March 8, 1932.

New Record Cold High Temperature

New Record Cold High Temperature

If that wasn’t enough, two more records could fall on Monday….

-Joe

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Posted under 13 Climate Authority, cold blast, record weather, snow, statistics, weather, winter weather

This post was written by qni_it on March 2, 2014

Snow Moving Out

As expected, snow will move out of the Stateline area between midnight and 3am. Areas along and south of the I-88 corridor will hang onto the snow the longest. Additional minor accumulations are possible. Patchy light drizzle will be a concern until about 3am; however, dry Arctic air will keep that chance fairly small. A quick flurry or two will dot the radar early Sunday morning.

Snowfall totals from our first round of snow on Friday night / Saturday post-midnight fell in line with our forecast of around one inch. The second round of snow followed suit with our forecast as well. A general three to five inches blanketed much of northern Illinois and southern Wisconsin.

Preliminary Snowfall Reports: 11pm Saturday

Preliminary Snowfall Reports: 11pm Saturday

Rockford picked up 1.2″ from the first round and 3.4″ from the second round. This adds up to 4.6″ of snow that fell during the 24-hour period on Saturday—a record amount for March 1st!

Final totals will be posted as the information becomes available. Look for updates throughout the day Sunday.  -Joe

2ND ROUND FINAL TOTALS (updated Sunday morning):

  • Genoa – 5.1″
  • Rochelle – 4.5″
  • DeKalb – 4.2″
  • Freeport – 4.0″
  • Polo – 4.0″
  • Shannon – 4.0″
  • Somonauk – 4.0″
  • Schapville – 3.9″
  • Ashton – 3.8″
  • Belvidere – 3.8″
  • Lena – 3.8″
  • Loran – 3.8″
  • Malta – 3.8″
  • Marengo – 3.8″
  • Roscoe – 3.7″
  • Beloit – 3.5″
  • East Dubuque – 3.5″
  • Morrison – 3.5″
  • Rock Falls – 3.5″
  • Rockford (Airport) – 3.4″
  • Cortland – 3.3″
  • Galena – 3.3″
  • Dixon – 3.1″
  • Elizabeth – 3.1″
  • Byron – 3.0″
  • Capron – 3.0″
  • Mendota – 3.0″
  • Sterling – 3.0″
  • Rockton – 2.7″
  • Afton – 2.5″
  • Brodhead – 2.3″
  • Rockford (Northeast) – 2.2″
  • Delavan – 2.0″
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Posted under snow, statistics, weather, winter weather

This post was written by qni_it on March 1, 2014

Snow Round 2: The Main Course

We have two rounds of snow to get through this weekend. The first round of light snow will linger through the pre-dawn hours of Saturday morning. The first round will be the lesser of the two: the appetizer to the main course.  The main course, of course, is the second round of snow that will blanket the area late Saturday.

Local Timeframe: 1pm Saturday - 7am Sunday

Local Timeframe: 1pm Saturday – 7am Sunday

Snow looks to push back into the area Saturday afternoon after 1pm.  The snow will ramp up in intensity during the late afternoon and evening, continuing into the nighttime hours.  Snow will taper off before dawn Sunday. It appears that 3 to 5 inches of accumulation will be possible when it’s all said and done.  The higher totals will be along and south of the Interstate 88 corridor. The lowest amounts will occur in southern Wisconsin. Temperatures will be in the teens during this snowfall event. Wind will be out of the north-northwest around 5 to 15mph, with a few gusts to 20mph.

Round 2 Snowfall: 3-5"

Round 2 Snowfall: 3-5″

As of 8am Saturday morning, the WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY area has expanded to included all 13 of our local counties.

  • Carroll, Jo Daviess, Stephenson & Whiteside County: 12pm Saturday through 6am Sunday
  • Green, Rock & Walworth County:  3pm Saturday through 3am Sunday
  • Boone, DeKalb, Lee, McHenry, Ogle & Winnebago County: 3pm Saturday through 9am Sunday
Winter Weather Advisory (posted Friday 11pm)

Winter Weather Advisory (posted Friday 11pm)

Travel will be impacted Saturday evening through Sunday morning as snow plows battle this latest round of snow. Use caution if you have to travel. Keep it tuned to the weather blog, wrex.com, our Facebook and Twitter feeds for the latest the information.

-Joe

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Posted under FutureTrack, snow, weather, winter weather

This post was written by qni_it on February 28, 2014